From: testing_h@yahoo.com (Andre)
Newsgroups: sci.physics.plasma
Subject: New method of simulation of "non linear" (ball lightning) events in air?
Organization: http://groups.google.com


Hi,

It occurs to me that maybe there is a way to simulate the processes by
which ball lightning is produced.

If we consider that weather forecasting predicts a possible future
event sequence using "cell" prediction (modelling how air movement,
humidity, temperature interact to produce a given outcome) then this
process should work equally well in reverse.

Take a given set of variables (an end point) then manipulate the
simulation to "run time backwards" as it were. Then repeat for a
number of different sets of variables using the Monte-Carlo method of
changing one variable at a time to its extremes and measuring the
result.

Then, use the most promising simulations to further fine-tune the
process and run the simulation back over a few seconds, in order to
calculate mathematically the starting conditions.

Run these starting conditions through the simulation and determine the
limits of these conditions, then try them out in real life, to see if
they work. If not, refine the model until it does.

Comments please? :)

-A


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